Okay, I think I can follow the
rules for this thread:
1. Sarries - I think that Sarries will take first.
I honestly have been really unimpressed by their squad without the
internationals. I think that they miss Richard Wigglesworth much more than they
expected to. They'll field the internationals against the professional sides,
but I would be in no way surprised if they put out a weak side and got surprise
pipped by one of the 'weaker' teams or in a nasty weather game. I predict that
they win 9 games and make the play off.
2. Ealing - With 9 preseason games against
Premiership or Championship sides under their belts, I don't think that Ealing
will come out underbaked like they did last year against a very creditable and
well coached Pirates side. They might be a little vulnerable in the front row
after losing a lot of quality players last year, and I've found their scrum to
not be the dominant force this year in preseason that I might have hoped. The
line out is working very well, and the 9/10 axis is looking good. An average
performance form Ealing should beat an average performance from any other team
bar Saracens, but I've seen them look past teams before, and Ben Ward tends to
get too cute with selections sometimes. I predict that they win 8 games and
make the play off.
3. Coventry - I was impressed by the way they
pushed Sarries, and I think that they have kept together a good core of their
squad, and have a decent squad size as well (I counted 35). Continuity will
count for a lot this year, as there isn't time to 'find' form. I predict 6
wins.
4. Pirates - They laid good foundations last year,
although losing some players as short term cover will hurt. They appear to have
32 players on the squad at the moment, not counting Captain Benbow. I worry
that coaching turnover might stop them from achieving the highs that they did
last year. I predict 6 wins here, but with less BPs than Coventry.
5. Donny - The 3 game pre-season will help them hit
the ground running, so I think that they hoover up a win or two early on that
they might not otherwise achieve. Sam Olver's kicking will help in that
department as well - the tiny lad doesn't seem to miss. Sad not to see Colin on
the squad anymore, his gray hair and beard always made me feel like maybe I
could try a run out. I predict 6 wins.
6. Jersey - I think that the islanders will be
impacted this year by having less home games, even if the squad on paper is
looking relatively strong, especially up front (surprise). I wonder how they'll
do at 10 after having a few good ones leave over the past couple of years. I
predict 5 wins, with a couple of bonus point heartbreakers lost at the death.
7. Bedford - I don't like to put them this far
down, but I really don't know much about this squad, and I worry that they'll
have trouble gelling and forming a consistent identity. Also, I'm seeing from
todays' roadmap that they are unlikely to have fans until May at the earliest,
making Goldington Road and the slope less of a deterent than usual. I predict 5
wins, but less bonus points than Jersey.
8. Richmond - Loss of funding will hurt Richmond
less than any other club, and I think that they've hoovered up a lot of quality
players who want to have Rugby and a day job in the London area (Bluesman11
spot on here). They also can absorb a lot of injuries with a large squad,
though the shortened season makes that less important. I predict 4 wins, with
several BPs for tight losses.
9. Hartpury - No A league this year, so I think
Gloucester will give them lots of loanees to get game time, which should help
them win a few matches, though they won't be cohesive enough to come above the
other teams higher on the list. I predict 3 wins, but with some BPs.
10. Nottingham - They've a very thin squad, and
moving to semi-pro may hurt morale. We'll see how they do on the loanee front,
but if they have to make up numbers with too many Nottingham Trent players,
then we could see cricket scores. Lack of pre-season won't help. Ealing seem to
trip up against them at Lady Bay, so I can perversely see them sneaking a win
in that match, and still only getting 3 wins on the season. I predict 3 wins.
11. Ampthill - They seemed to play well with an
extraman against Blue, but were getting battered before that. By the same logic
as Richmond, they shouldn’t be as affected by lack of funding, but I just have
a bad feeling about them this year, and I’m punishing them for having their
squad list locked away behind a password for some reason. I predict 2 wins.
|